Quora

Yesterday I started participating in the website Quora. Quora is an online community for people to pose questions and answer the questions posed by others. It has been around in 2009 and had 17 million visitors as of February 2016.

At first I was unsure how to get involved. So far I have found three main ways of participating: reading questions that have been answered, answering questions that have been asked, and asking questions. To start I read some answered questions. They were fairly interesting but all over the place and there was definitely a shaky signal-to-noise ratio. I wanted to take a shot at answering some questions, even if I wasn’t the most qualified to do so, as a way to get more into it and get my brain juices flowing. It can be hard to find questions that aren’t already answered but I was able to find some. The topics I have focused on so far have been football, music (particularly songwriting), politics (particularly libertarianism), and management.

I’m hoping to continue answering questions as a brain exercise and to read some interesting threads with answered questions. I posed my first question today (about strategies for libertarian change) and am curious to see if I get any responses.

Book Review: Getting Things Done

Today I read Getting Things Done by David Allen. Published in 2001, Gettings Things Done (GTD) is a classic among modern business / self-help books. Although I only gave it the speed read I typically give this style of books, I enjoyed GTD and found it worth its widespread acclaim.

GTD is all about organizing your life so that it is less stressful and more productive. GTD details how to organize all your stuff, turning your various inputs (emails, mail, thoughts, conversations) into usable parts that you can organize and structure in order to better attack and carry out your life’s projects. In addition to all the stuff, Allen addresses how to organize one’s projects so that your actions best help you carry out the big-picture goals of the project.

As with most books of this style the first third is good content, the second third helps detail that content, and the final third reinforces the importance of using that content. However basic Allen’s advice may be, it is useful for all persons to revisit. When I had less responsibilities in my prior role with my current employer, I think I was able to get by with bad habits and those bad habits have been reinforced. I’m struggling to succeed by using those bad habits with a larger role. Time to put these new tips into practice!

New Year’s Resolutions: One Month Update

At the start of 2016, I decided on a few New Year’s Resolutions. I don’t normally make a big deal of New Year’s Resolutions and I can’t think of any that I have seriously followed through on. This year, I’m actually doing pretty well on them. For 2016 my resolutions are:

  1. Drink less alcohol, drink alcohol less frequently
  2. Exercise more
  3. Read the Bible
  4. Play more guitar
I have set a goal of getting my weight down to 185 pounds by my wedding (June 18th). To do this, I am eating at a caloric deficit and exercising three times a week. I am using MyFitnessPal to track what I eat and have done so for 28 days straight. The biggest change to my diet has been replacing bacon & eggs with a banana at breakfast, eating more chicken for dinner, and drinking less alcohol (goal #1). Drinking less alcohol has actually been fairly easy so far. Not drinking in a day is easy for me but once I have had a drink, I like to have a lot more. I am limiting my drinking to three days a week and tracking it with my food logging to ensure it does not push me beyond my caloric goals. In just a month, I’ve gone from 206.5 pounds (post-vacation weight) to 193 pounds.
For exercise, I am working out three times a week on the Stronglifts 5×5 weightlifting plan and the Couch to 5k running plan. I gave Stronglifts a try last year. I like the program a lot but didn’t do a great job of sticking to it (often taking a week off every two or three weeks). The Couch to 5k plan has been way better than I expected. I am actually enjoying the workouts and am not feeling the painful cramps I have felt when running over the past few years (even when I was in good shape). A big reason for this has been new running shoes, a Christmas gift from my grandparents. Kelly and I registered for a 5k at the start of March, which will be my first 5k.
This is not the first time I have tried reading the Bible. I’m definitely behind pace on this one but I am still making progress. I am on the 90 day plan (stretching it out any longer will lead to me dropping it). I’m reading it from start to finish and I sort of wish I had found a plan that mixed Old Testament and New Testament. 
Playing more guitar is definitely the most fun goal. I am definitely playing more guitar than last year. Mostly this has been picking up my guitar when in my living room and playing a song or two. For a little while I was brushing up on the modal scales. However, I haven’t tried to institute regular practice or playing. I have so much structure in place with the other goals, I don’t want to overdo it and burn myself out.

Book Review: Good Profit by Charles Koch

I finished reading Good Profit by Charles G. Koch. Last year I read Koch’s The Science of Success  (I believe those are his only two books). Both books are guides to Koch’s management philosophy, Market-Based Management. Market-based management attempts to use economic knowledge to apply the tools which allow free market economies to prosper (property rights, free exchange, profit and loss) within the contexts of a firm.

Koch is Chairman and CEO of Koch Industries. Along with his brother David, Charles is one of the wealthiest people alive. Koch is also a classical liberal who has dedicated a lot of time and money to classical liberal causes such as the Charles Koch Institute and the Institute for Humane Studies.

In the first section of the book, Koch writes of his early years from his childhood to his first days in business. He particularly focuses on the lessons of his father, who left behind the family business to his sons.

The bulk of the book details the five core components of market-based management: Vision, Virtue and Talents, Knowledge Processes, Decision Rights and Incentives. A firm should have a clear vision that expresses how it will use its capabilities to improve people’s lives. Employees should have the right virtue and talents to contribute to the firm (virtue is more important than talent). Firms should be structured such that the right information is available to the right people. Employees should have clearly defined rights over the decisions they can make based on their ability to contribute to the firm’s long-term profit. Policies and compensation should be set so that employees face incentives which encourage them to act in the interests of the long-term profits of the firm.

In the final section, Koch runs through four brief case studies of applied market-based management.

Whereas The Science of Success reads like a how-to manual for implementing market-based management, Good Profit definitely reads like Koch’s manifesto. The book did not address my reasons for skepticism of market-based management. To try and summarize those concerns very briefly, my gut tells me that market-based management is a misapplication of economic concepts to the wrong contexts. Firms exist because of transaction costs, a concept I don’t find addressed by the structure of market-based management.

Koch doesn’t address criticisms of market-based management in the book, but presents the tremendous success of Koch Industries as a testament to the power of his business philosophy. Besides Koch’s two books, I have encouraged market-based management in working with organizations supported by Koch such as the Charles Koch Institute. I find some concepts (decision rights) more compelling than others (incentives). I would be really interested to have the opportunity to experience market-based management working in a firm that fully embraces it, especially in a for-profit context.

Book Review: The Last Safe Investment

The Last Safe Investment: Spending Now To Increase Your True Wealth Forever by Michael Ellsberg and Bryan Franklin is a combination self-help and retirement-planning book. The authors argue that the typical American retirement plan is broken. They offer an alternative that will better serve one’s retirement as well as one’s present and near future. At its core, the author’s alternative is about viewing yourself as your primary investment vehicle for your future.

Ellsberg and Franklin introduce three “true wealth disciplines”: systematic spending, increasing your value to other people, and improving your happiness exchange rate. These disciplines, when cultivated, lead to three “true wealth assets”: adviser equity, tribe, and savings. If you invest in yourself by building the three disciplines, the three assets will better provide you with a happy retirement than the 401ks and vacation homes of a traditional retirement plan.

True Wealth Disciplines
Spend systemically: Evaluate the value of spending within your whole life not just that item’s category. View expenses as life investments and spend accordingly.
Increase your value to other people: Your value to others = match between your behavior and other people’s desired outcomes. Investing in your value is your greatest leverage point to increase your future earnings.
Improve your happiness exchange rate: Figure out what makes you happy. Figure out how to increase happiness efficiently (more happiness for less dollars).

True Wealth Assets
Adviser equity: Provide value to new enterprises, typically in the from of advice but maybe other forms of labor. Get equity, cash it in some point in the future.
Tribe: Community of people who share same values and are connected to one another. Provide you with resources/earning potential and also will make you happier (connections and experiences)
Savings: Cold hard cash set aside. Yes, this excludes monetary investments such as stocks and bonds.

For a majority of the book, Ellsberg and Franklin outline “super skills” which are the best ways to increase your value to other people. Super skills are presented in four categories: interpersonal (leadership/influence, public speaking, visioning, teaching, selling, networking and building tribe, and holding paradox), creative (context importing, improvisation, writing, copywriting, reading, storytelling, and design), technical (mental models, financial models, systems thinking, web development, direct marketing), and physical (longevity, mental focus, clean healthy appearance, clean and organize environment, healthy relationship with substances, and healthy relationship with your sexuality).

I would grade the book as fair. Ellsberg and Franklin present a novel solution to a commonly perceived problem. I am not totally sold on their system, not enough to stop contributing to my IRA. Their true wealth disciplines are all fine pieces of advice. Nothing revolutionary there, but also enough off the beaten path to be worth writing. The true wealth assets part of the equation is where I’m very skeptical of their advice.

I’m not convinced that after a lifetime of following their true wealth disciplines you are better off with adviser equity, tribe, and savings than a 401k and a vacation home. The stock market is robust in the long run and if you start early (see my next point about willpower) you should be set up for life, especially if you practice the true wealth disciplines. Adviser equity sounds like a nice but unpredictable way to score big (like trying to pick individual stocks). Some people hate tribe! And savings is nice, but again, I’m not quite sure why the authors are so averse to setting up an IRA over cash and money market funds.

Another flaw in the book is the authors’ dismissal of willpower. In the introduction they say any workable plan (which they argue theirs is), “must not rely on willpower, or behaviors that people know they should do but few actually do”. Retirement is just a form of saving and saving is all about delaying gratitude (an exercise of willpower). The requirements of the book’s plan (spending systematically, increasing your value to other people, and improving your happiness exchange rate) all require willpower. In fact, I think the authors spend most of their book telling the reader what “they should do but few actually do!” This caught my attention after reading Willpower: Rediscovering the Greatest Human Strength by John Tierney and Roy Baumeister. I think Ellsberg and Franklin provide good advice that most of us should follow, but they are kidding themselves if they don’t think it relies on greater willpower to put in practice.

Ellsberg and Franklin’s true wealth disciplines are good advice worth following. I want to incorporate them into my life. But I’m not in a rush to center my future around adviser equity, tribe, and cash savings.

PS – Thank you to my friend Isaac Morehouse for the book recommendation!

Golf

Yesterday I played golf. Golf is okay.
My family really likes golf, especially my Mom’s side of the family. My parents had me taking golf lessons at, I’d guess, age 7 or 8. They wanted to make sure I knew how to play and the basic rules of golf. At the time I was never very excited about it but now I’m grateful they did that.
Today golf is probably the most convenient sport to play with my friends. I play softball in the summer. All softball requires is that I show up with a glove. But you have to get together a team of nine or more and schedule a season. Golf involves lugging a heavy set of golf clubs so public transit is out of the question. But you only need a friend or two and you can play a round. 
I have never been particularly good at golf. Golf isn’t about physical strength, or physical fitness at all really (hello John Daly). It is about technique, consistency, and mental strength. These are not traits you find in young people. During my teenage years I found golf too frustrating and only played it when I had to do so. About two years ago, I became interested in golf again. I have mellowed out a bit and also have an easier time accepting I’m not going to be great at golf. So I take it as a relaxing physical activity I can do with friends and family. If I’m lucky, I’ll have one or two good shots in a round.
One problem I still have is my instinct to try and hit the ball hard. Just as mental strength is more important than physical strength, a smooth swing is more important than a hard swing. When I approach the ball and take a few practice swings, I do just fine. But then I step up to the ball for my actual shot and my body kicks in like I am trying to hit a home run. 
Being good at golf requires a consistent swing. When I put some time in to work on my swing I can play decently. But when I play sparingly it is hard to internalize the improvements to my swing. If I want to get any good at golf, I guess I will just have to play more.

Destination: Arizona

Today I am flying to Phoenix, Arizona for the Students For Liberty Arizona Regional Conference. While there I will stay with my maternal grandparents who live in Scottsdale. They spent most of their adult lives in Crystal Lake, a suburb of Chicago, but started splitting time between Illinois and Arizona after retiring.

I have been to Scottsdale at least once a year since my grandparents became “snowbirds” about fifteen years ago. I have many memories there, primarily of swimming, golfing, and playing games. My grandparents have a pool and hot tub in their backyard so swimming is very convenient. They also live in a golf resort community and are members of the Desert Forest Country Club nearby. As a kid we often played Payday, Racko, and a Pokèmon board game. These days it is most commonly Quirkle, Golo, and Gin Rummy.

There are a few pieces of pop culture I strongly associate with visiting my grandparents in Scottsdale. I first remember listening to the album Learning How To Smile Part 1 by Everclear, one of my favorite albums, in Scottsdale. The same goes for Permission To Land by The Darkness (a great album for warm weather). As a kid I watched Good Burger, Spy Kids, and the first Pokèmon movie a lot there.

I have sustained three major injuries while visiting my grandparents. The first time I was about eight years old and I slipped in the shower, slamming my jaw on the soap dish and biting through my lip. The second time, I was maybe eleven. While attempting to set up a telescope on the deck, I ran inside. Well, I ran into a sliding glass door and chipped my front tooth pretty bad. The third (and hopefully final!) injury came about by hitting the brakes on my bike while riding downhill. I flipped over my handlebars, suffering a concussion which knocked me out and a broken wrist. I was about 13 when that happened.

Here’s to hoping for a productive, enjoyable, and injury-free trip to Arizona!

Sports Journalism is Terrible

Sports journalism is awful. Simply dreadful. It is full of cliches, empty rhetoric, and utter nonsense.

While at the gym today, I saw a segment on Sportscenter (the premier sports journalism show) about the firing of Seattle Mariners manager Lloyd McClendon. In the segement, one of ESPN’s top baseball experts Tim Kurkjian said more General Managers are willing to fire Managers today because the relationship between GM and Manager is more important than ever before. Kurkjian was asked a simple yet (would be) illuminating question: why is this? That is, what has changed to make this relationship more important.

Kurkjian gave a classic non-answer, offering up “the GM and Manager need to be on the same page” for five minutes, which is essentially repeating the question. An absolute garbage answer. I can’t say I’m too surprised. Kurkjian didn’t present any basic statistics about the rate of manager firings in the MLB over time so I have no reason to believe his claim is even true. If I had to guess, if pressed, Kurkjian would admit that deep down he doesn’t really know either.

My inner economist speculates the incentives for good or poor sports commentary are too weak. Sports journalists aren’t forced to revisit their predictions (that means you, John Kruk). I’m a big fan of prediction markets because of the power of price signals to share information. I wonder how a sports analysis website centered around a prediction market would fare. It should provide more accurate insights and predictions, which would lead to greater viewership if other sports fans are looking for that.

My favorite criticism of sports journalism came from the blog FireJoeMorgan.com. In over 1,000 posts over 3 and a half years, the bloggers pointed out the absurdities of baseball “experts”. The blog was named for Joe Morgan, who was one of the most high-profile commentators who fit their profile, but addressed many other sports pundits (Kurkjian included).

The blog ran from 2005 to 2008 in which Michael Lewis’ Moneyball was topic of debate within professional baseball. There was a common thread between the sportswriters profiled by FJM: they criticized Moneyball without having a rudimentary sense of what it was really about (Morgan even showed his ignorance regarding Oakland Athletics GM Billy Beane’s role in the book: he is the subject matter, not the author). While they did not identify themselves at the time, Michael Schur and Alan Yang (who went on to create Parks and Recreation) were contributors to the blog.

Amash for Speaker?

Kevin McCarthy announced today he is no longer running for Speaker of the House. This is a swift fall from grace for the presumed successor to John Boehner. While we may never know, I am curious what caused McCarthy to pull out from this race. He had a fairly serious gaffe recently, but I didn’t expect it be serious enough to keep him from the Speakership.

Some of my libertarian friends would like to see Justin Amash as the next Speaker of the House. Sure, why not? Amash is a solid libertarian who has maintained his seat against challengers while voting true to his principles. He has nonpartisan appeal in his history of Facebook posts explaining his votes in Congress. I am personally grateful for all the time Amash has given up speaking at Students For Liberty and Young Americans for Liberty events for free including two events I organized while in college.

I have no reason to believe Amash has an actual chance at the Speakership. He is young, not extremely popular among Republicans, and isn’t being suggested by the colleagues who do like him. There are of course a number of other candidates who were being thrown around even before McCarthy bowed out.

The House Freedom Caucus, a group of Republicans of which Amash is a founding member, is supporting Daniel Webster for the Speakership. I don’t know much about Webster so I have nothing to say on his candidacy one way or the other.

However, I’m glad to see Amash gaining clout through a group like the House Freedom Caucus. Before McCarthy even dropped out, a few reporters speculated the House Freedom Caucus’ support for Webster was going to put McCarthy’s chances in doubt. It seems to me the best way to get the attention and support of a political power is not to merely support and partner with them but to scare them. Don’t let them (the powers that be!) take you for granted. I am pessimistic about opportunities for libertarians to gain change through direct political action but if it is going to happen, it will take the following: Show your power, gain a seat at the table, and fight for your top priorities.

September Reading

This month, I am attempting to blog regularly to get my writing skills back into practice. My original goal was to write a post every day, but I didn’t set aside time over my birthday weekend to write anything. Maybe I will stick to writing every weekday. Regardless, my goal is to write regularly.

Last month, I focused on reading. In the month of September I read:

  1. Hiring The Best by Martin Yate
  2. The Four-Hour Work Week by Timothy Ferriss
  3. The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels by Alex Epstein
  4. The Last Policeman by Ben Winters
  5. Countdown City by Ben Winters
  6. World of Trouble by Ben Winters
  7. The Problem of Political Authority by Michael Huemer
  8. The Man Who Loved Only Numbers by Paul Hoffman
  9. Anything That’s Peaceful by Leonard Read
  10. Willpower by Roy Baumeister and John Tierney
  11. Thinking As A Science by Henry Hazlitt
  12. The Science of Success by Charles Koch
  13. The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe by C.S. Lewis
  14. Prince Caspian by C.S. Lewis
  15. The Voyage of the Dawn Treader by C.S. Lewis
  16. The Silver Chair by C.S. Lewis
These books fell into three general categories which dominate my overall reading: economics/philosophy, management, and fiction. In total I read 16 books in 30 days at a pace of roughly two days per book. Sure, the last 4 books from the Narnia series (which I still want to finish) are children’s books. But on the other hand, The Problem of Political Authority was difficult and required a lot of attention! 
There weren’t many within economics/philosophy, but my favorite was The Problem of Political Authority. Huemer did a knockout job in the first half of the book and provides a lot of ammunition for anarcho-capitalists arguing with statists about the necessity and moral authority of governments. In finally getting around to Anything That’s Peaceful, I was struck with the importance of faith to Read’s case for a free society. His central thesis aside (which I found convincing), Alex Epstein reminded me in The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels how energizing Objectivists can be because of their love for life. 
While I was not completely sold on the interviewing and hiring system outlined in Hiring The Best, it demonstrated to me the importance of a system. I wasn’t blown away by the findings presented in Willpower but the evidence in favor of willpower’s existence, importance, and potential for cultivation was interesting. Thinking As A Science was underwhelming and felt like more of a pet project than a worthwhile contribution. While I was already familiar with many of the concepts in The Science of Success due to my work in the libertarian movement, I was surprised to see how well it meshed with The Lean Startup by Eric Ries. Paul Erdos, the subject of The Man Who Loved Only Numbers, was an interesting and funny character but the book didn’t draw me in to the mathematical topics. 
The majority of my reading in September was fiction. The The Last Policeman trilogy was a real pageturner that drew me in to the world so much that I woke up the next morning thinking the world was really going to end in a few months. My favorite book was Countdown City, full of humorous insights for a detective novel. World of Trouble was a well-executed finale. I don’t have much to say about the Narnia series, but may write a separate post about it when I finish the other three books.